Josh Stock | Nov 11, 2018 | 0
Bounce Back Quarterbacks
Over the course of the next four days, I will be releasing my top 5 Bounce back candidates at each skill position.
According to the Merriam-Webster Dictionary, the definition of bounce back is;
: to return quickly to a normal condition after a difficult situation or event. Example – After losing the first three games of the series, they bounced back to win their next eight games.
This series of articles touches on players that I feel will bounce back from their previous season and deliver more fantasy value to your roster. I appreciate any feedback you may have either in the Facebook Community or on Twitter. You can find me on Twitter @RedZoneSully.
We kick this off at the Quarterback position.
Derek Carr along with his entire offense struggled in 2017. Carr’s attempts and completions were the lowest of his career in 2017. His yardage and touchdown completions were his lowest since his 2014 rookie season. The Raiders have brought in John Gruden to run the show as well as added Martavis Bryant and Jordy Nelson while saying goodbye to Michael Crabtree. Bryant is an upgrade on Crabtree and Jordy even in his declining years is an upgrade on Seth Roberts. Amari Cooper will be bouncing back this season (more on that to come), and he will give Carr the number 1 target he was lacking a season ago. The Raiders will have a better offense and Carr will see his productivity increase. The Raiders defense remains an area of opportunity for the club and I expect the Raiders to be chasing points at numerous times this season which also helps the passing game. Carr finished as the QB 19 in 2017, after finishing at QB 10 in 2016. I don’t see Carr bouncing back into the top 10 but I would anticipate that he will comfortably lands in QB12 range this season.
Eli and the rest of the giants were a dumpster fire in 2017. Injuries piled up on the offensive side of the ball and Eli had his consecutive start streak halted by a controversial benching in week 13. Ben McAdoo is out, and Pat Shurmur is in. Shurmur is fresh off making something out of Sam Bradford and Case Keenum the past two seasons. Odell Beckham Jr. is back, Sterling Shepard is healthy, Evan Engram is still around, and the Giants added the generational talent in Saquon Barkley via the draft. I envision OBJ as a top 3WR, Shepard top 24WR, Engram top 12TE, and Barkley top 10RB. If all these players are to achieve these projections, then Eli can’t help but elevate his productivity. Eli finished as QB23 in 2017 and hasn’t finished in the top 12 since back to back QB10 seasons on 2014 & 2015. With all these weapons and a coach that knows exactly what buttons to push, I see Eli bouncing back into the QB12-15 range.
Mariota was slowed by injury last season, as well as the injury to Corey Davis. Heading into 2018, Mariota is healthy, Davis is healthy and the Titans added the ultra-talented Dion Lewis. More importantly, in my opinion, is the change in the coaching staff. Most notably the addition of Matt LaFleur as Offensive Coordinator. LaFleur joins the Titans after spending the 2017 season as the Los Angeles Rams Offensive Coordinator. The Rams finished first in scoring and 10th in total offense. Jared Goff finished as QB12 after finishing as QB37 in his abbreviated rookie season. Prior to being with the Rams, LaFleur spent 2015-2016 as the quarterback’s coach in Atlanta. In 2016 Matt Ryan was the NFL MVP, throwing for 4944 yards and 38 TDs. Ryan finished that season as QB2 and fell back to QB20 without LaFleur last season. Marcus Mariota’s best finish was in 2016 at QB12. He fell back to QB18 last season and I am looking for Mariota to not only bounce back but to also break into the top 10 in 2018.
Tannehill injured his knee back in 2016 in the third quarter of week 14 against Arizona. The injury finished him for the remainder of the regular season and playoffs. Tannehill finished 2016 as QB27. In training camp in early August of 2017, Tannehill injured that knee again and missed the entire 2017 season as a result. He comes into 2018 ready to take back the starting QB position in Miami. His team has changed somewhat since he last played back in 2016. His favorite target Jarvis Landry is gone and added in his place is Albert Wilson. His top RB Jay Ajayi is gone and replaced with Kenyon Drake. Julius Thomas has been released and Mike Gesicki has been drafted. On the surface, there is not a whole lot to get excited about regarding Ryan Tannehill. The stat that I recently came across is why Tannehill is on this list. Alex Smith finished as QB4 in 2017 with 4024 yards, 26TD, 355 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD. Ryan Tannehill averaged 4055 yards, 25TD, 230 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD 2013-2015. I certainly do not see Tannehill coming in as a top 5 QB. Tannehill is a great second QB on your dynasty roster. He has the ability and weapons to be a top 15 QB. I’m predicting he does just that in 2018.
Hey, remember this guy? Andrew Luck last played for the Indianapolis Colts in the 2016 season and finished as QB4. The last snap Luck took was January 1, 2017. The Colts are confident that Luck is ready to practice fully and will be ready for preseason week 1. Stop me if you have heard this before. There are plenty of us (myself included) that got burnt by the same talk last season. This year, however, I believe the Colts. The biggest reason I see Luck excelling in 2018 (in addtion to his talent), is the state of the offensive line. Luck should have more time to throw than he did 19 months ago. His weapons are different, but they will get the job done. His stud WR is still around, in TY Hilton. The remainder of the WR core of; Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers along with TE’s Jack Doyle and Eric Ebron provide Luck with enough weapons to bounce back. The committee in the backfield of Marlon Mack, Nyheim Hines, and Jordan Wilkins will further compliment Luck and the Colts attack. If all of this wasn’t enough, Luck can still run. He has averaged 288 rushing yards and slightly under 3 rushing TD’s a season over the course of his career. I am looking for Luck to bounce back into the top 8 at QB after shaking off the rust in the few weeks of the season.