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Could Randall Cobb be a Draft Steal?

Could Randall Cobb be a Draft Steal?

Three years ago, Cobb was one of the more highly sought-after receivers for many fantasy teams.  This of course, was after a 1,287 yard – 12 touchdown season in 2014.  Coming out of Kentucky for the 2011 NFL Draft, he wasn’t exactly considered an elite prospect.  He ended up being the 7th receiver taken in the draft, and the last pick of the second round (#64) to the Green Bay Packers.  Who’d have guessed that he’d be the third most productive receiver in the draft.  A.J. Green (#4 to the Bengals) and Julio Jones (#6 to the Falcons) are not reasonable comparisons, but looking at the other receivers taken before him, who really sticks out?

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  • Johnathan Baldwin – Played three years in the NFL, amassing 607 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Titus Young – Knucklehead – Lots of talent, little brain activity
  • Torrey Smith – One of the better receivers of the group.  Unfortunately, he’s little more than a home run hitting player.  Boom or bust in the fantasy world.  Not what you want in your weekly lineup.
  • Greg Little – Yeah, he’s a real person.  Looked like a decent prospect five years ago and ended up being forgotten by NFL fans.  However, Browns fans are probably still wearing his jersey because they’ve got nothing else.

Since that 2014 season, Cobb has been a disappointment.  He didn’t live up to expectations in his 2015 season.  He was injured for a good portion of the 2016 season, only starting 10 out of the 16 games.  And in 2017, he put up bench player numbers.  However, Brett Hundley was his quarterback for the majority of that 2017 season.  Coming into the 2018 season, we should see Aaron Rodgers back under center.  Not to mention that Jordy Nelson, who was Rodgers go to guy, is no longer on the team.  The addition of Jimmy Graham will likely take away from Cobb’s red zone targets, but this isn’t the same Jimmy from his Saints days.  There should be plenty of targets for Cobb as they move down the field.

From a PPR standpoint, I could easily see Cobb being a #2 receiver.  He’ll be a volume receiver in this offense.  But even in a non-PPR league, Cobb could be a very valuable asset, especially considering his current value.  Now I’m not saying that you should reach too far for him….but Cobb could definitely end up being a steal in the pass happy offense in which he once shined.

Dynasty Outlook:

For the price you’ll be paying…..I believe that Cobb should be a player circled on your cheat sheets.  We know that he has some injury issues and that has limited him in recent years.  But you also have to keep in mind that he’s only 27 years old.  He’ll be 28 by the start to the football season.  You could have him for multiple years, as a player with a very high ceiling, in a pass friendly offense with one of the best quarterbacks in the league.  Again….no Jordy Nelson stealing targets.  Based upon our cumulative rankings, Cobb is an Eighth Round ADP player.  Probably a bench player at that point.  Scoop him up a round earlier at a bargain price and reap the rewards.

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