Green Bay 2018 IDP Outlook: Change My Mind!
The injury bug hit Green Bay earlier than usual this year, losing Jake Ryan, an IDP asset I thought would continue to grow this year, after notching 79 total tackles, a sack and fumble recovery last year. This defense has some very nice IDP players still in linebacker Blake Martinez and safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (Not only an amazing name but easily a top IDP asset).
This offseason, the team moved from Dom Capers after 9 seasons of up and down production and complexity, to Mike Pettine who deploys a philosophy named KILL (Keep It Likeable and Learnable). Last year saw a defense finish 26th in scoring, tied for 17th in sacks and tied for 20th in interceptions, they needed to freshen up what they were doing. In recent years, they’ve spent high-end draft capital on the defense, and they need to start reaping rewards from those choices.
Pettine tends to stick to the 3-4 look on defense, sprinkling in some 4-3 looks as the game plan determines it necessary (for an in-depth look at Pettine’s defense, check out Pack to the Futures article here – Xs and Os: The Mike Pettine Defense – Front 7). IDP wise, that really takes out the value of the lineman but adds in the option of another linebacker being playable during the year. I would expect their middle linebackers and whichever outside backer will be focused on rushing the passer to see good value for IDP, which in this case equates to Blake Martinez, rookie Oren Burks, Nick Perry and possibly Clay Matthews. With Jake Ryan on IR, the rookie Burks looks to be the beneficiary of Ryan’s spot, as there isn’t much else behind the rookie.
In the offseason, Green Bay brought in Muhammad Wilkerson, a guy that doesn’t really excite me in IDP (last year he had 46 total tackles, 3.5 sacks, and an INT). Kenny Clark, a young former 1st round pick NT has promise, putting up 55 tackles, 4.5 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles. Green Bay has spent a large amount of high-end draft picks on corners (Jaire Alexander, Kevin King, Josh Jackson), I’d take a wait-and-see approach for now as they also signed Tramon Williams and have Quinten Rollins, who has experience back there as well. In 2017, Kentrell Brice didn’t have any eye-popping stats but in IDP Safeties tend to have potential, especially as they are on clean-up duty typically and rack up the tackles (but I’m guessing Ha-Ha doesn’t like to share the wealth), so I’d look elsewhere after Dix when it comes to safeties.
If I were to rank their IDP players I’d go as follows:
- Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
- Blake Martinez
- Nick Perry
- Kenny Clark
- Oren Burks
- Kentrell Brice
- Kevin King (Stash if you have the spots)
- Jaire Alexander (Same as King, stash if your rosters allow)
- Josh Jones (Stash)
- Josh Jackson (Stash)
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