Rob Sullivan | Dec 7, 2018 | 0
Week 14 Studs, Jaylen Samuels, Jeff Wilson Jr.
Jaylen Samuels at OAK
The injury James Conner suffered Sunday night against the Chargers was originally reported as a lower leg contusion that was not deemed to be serious. That may be true, but it was serious enough for him to be ruled out for their Week 14 matchup on a Tuesday. That generally wouldn’t happen this early in the week if it wasn’t at least somewhat significant. That will leave the backfield duties to rookie Jaylen Samuels and Stevan Ridley. Ridley appeared to be the preferred backup early in the season, but Samuels handled all the work after Conner left the game Sunday night. Mike Tomlin has declared the Steelers will use a committee this week. However, the last 5+ years of game tape has shown us the Steelers just don’t do that. Even when Le’Veon Bell has missed time in the past they went almost exclusively with Deangelo Williams. I’m sure Ridley will get some work early in the game, but I prefer Samuels by a wide margin. They get a Raiders defense that allows the 8th most FP/G to running backs this season. Samuels has high-end RB2 upside with Conner sidelined.
Jeff Wilson Jr. vs. DEN
I was scrolling through box scores during the afternoon games on Sunday and had to do a double take when I saw Wilson Jr. was leading the 49ers in carries against the Seahawks. I have to admit I had no idea who he was, but the undrafted rookie looked pretty damn good with the ball in his hands. It should come as no surprise though. Kyle Shanahan has a knack for making all running backs look good in his system. Alfred Morris, Matt Breida, Raheem Mostert, and now Jeff Wilson Jr. I’ve been skeptical throughout the season but I’m not going to second-guess Shanahan this time. Wilson Jr. ran the ball 15 times for 61 yards and caught 8 passes for 73 yards. If they were willing to give him that kind of volume with Matt Breida active, I’m confident they will do it again with Breida already having been declared inactive. Jeff Wilson Jr. is a fine start for those who have caught the injury bug late in the season. He should deliver RB2 numbers against the Broncos.
Adam Humphries vs. NO
With every passing week, I expect Adam Humphries to come back to earth. He has absolutely balled out this season though. Since Week 8, Humphries is the WR18 in terms of FP/G at 17.1. That’s pretty impressive for a guy who entered the season as the fourth wide receiver on the depth chart. The Bucs also have two very good tight ends that have been in the mix. Now that O.J. Howard is on IR and DeSean Jackson appears to be trending that way also, Adam Humphries stock is sky high. Tampa Bay is the #1 passing offense in the league this season at 345 YDS/G. So, we know the volume is there and they have been successful doing it. New Orleans has been better against the pass as of late but they’ve still allowed 625 passing yards over their last two contests. Humphries is going to continue to play his role in the slot and operate as an extension of the run game. He’s a great play in PPR formats.
Eric Ebron at HOU
Say hello to the TE3 on the season. He’s done it a bit unconventionally, with an absurd 20% of his catches going for TDs (11 total), a rushing TD, and despite a catch-less Week 11 against the Titans. Nevertheless, he’s been a must-start tight end, especially when Jack Doyle hasn’t played. Ebron is averaging 16 PPR FP/G when Doyle has been sidelined. Now that he’s on IR, it’s going to be the Ebron show from here on out. He had a ridiculous 16 targets last week against the Jaguars and caught 10 of them for 81 yards. I realize they didn’t score a point in the game but it’s nice to see that it didn’t affect Ebron’s bottom line. The Colts are traveling to Houston for another division battle this weekend and I can assure you that more than 6 total points will be scored in the game. I actually think this turns into a sneaky shootout. The Texans allow a healthy 64.1 YDS/G to opposing TEs, which bodes well for one of Andrew Luck’s favorite targets. Ebron is a top-5 TE this week.